[Bangkok Post] Unemployment on the Rise?
The devaluation of the Thai baht in July has begun to take effect in the
domestic economy. Economist Daniel Adams comments.
Unemployment is on the rise, with expert forecasts seeing it go from its level of 850,000 a few months ago
to likely reaching 1,250,000 by the end of 1997 before rising to around 1.5 million in early 1998.
With a large part of Thailand’s debt being denominated in the USD, the devaluation of the Thai baht has
led to a bloating of its foreign debt, leading to dipping consumer sentiment and trust in the Thai economy
falling. Furthermore, there is concern that especially in the field of banking reform, Thailand is lacking;
with further bankruptcies, closures and job losses all expected in the near future.
In the month of July, car sales have dropped 67% from a year earlier. Middle-class parents are pulling
children out of foreign universities as fees demarcated in foreign currencies like the Euro or USD inflate
in cost. Foreign investment has also slowed dramatically, ending the previous huge influxes of the past
and its loss is likely to hurt for some time, especially for the poorest in the nation.
The IMF is expected to take swift action, and a press release is widely expected to calm such weary
consumers.
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